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Russia Commercial Banking Report

Aug, 2016   |   80  Pages   |    BMI Commercial Banking |   Format : PDF

BMIs commercial banking forecast series covers 62 countries accounting for 80% of global GDP. Each report, researched at source, features BMIs independent assessment and 5-year forecasts to end-2017 for the commercial banking sector in each market. Using its expertise in both country risk and financial markets analysis, BMI has created exclusive models to forecast a wealth of key variables on the commercial banking sector. Historic and forecast data are provided for the sectors total asset and liability growth, client loans, and client deposits. Forecasts for key ratios including the loan-deposit ratio and the loan-asset ratio are also included, as well as core macro-economic forecasts. Data is presented in both local currency and US dollar terms.

Each report examines key drivers of growth and future prospects, including the macroeconomic situation, the level of development and potential for growth of the banking sector, the commercial initiatives of major players, government policy and the regulatory environment.

Central to BMIs analysis are our unique Commercial Banking Business Environment Ratings. BMIs unique country-comparative Risk-Reward Rating provides a clear, quantified, independent assessment of the opportunities and dangers of operating in each market. The methodology draws together our in-depth knowledge of competitive pressures, our comprehensive industry market forecasts, and our

BMI Industry View ... 7
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Indicators . . . 7
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Key Ratios, May 2016 . . . 7
Table: Annual Growth Rate Projections 2015-2020 (%) . . . . . 7
Table: Ranking Out Of 75 Countries Reviewed In 2016 . 8
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Indicators, 2013-2020 . . 8
SWOT ...... 9
Commercial Banking .... 9
Political . 10
Economic ........ 11
Operational Risk ....... 13
Industry Forecast .. 15
Table: Russia Banking Sector Risk Snapshot . . . . . 20
Table: CBR-Defined Systemically Important Institutions . . . . 22
Table: CBR Mandated LCR Implementation Schedule . 22
Industry Risk/Reward Index ... 25
Emerging Europe Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index ..... 25
Table: Emerging Europe Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index . . . . . 26
Market Overview ... 27
Emerging Europe Commercial Banking Outlook .. 27
Table: Banks' Bond Portfolios, 2014 . 27
Table: Comparison Of Loan/Deposit & Loan/Asset & Loan/GDP Ratios, 2016 . . . . 28
Table: Comparison Of Total Assets & Client Loans & Client Deposits (USDbn) . . . 29
Table: Comparison Of USD Per Capita Deposits, 2016 . . . . . 30
Economic Outlook ..... 31
Competitive Landscape . 36
Market Structure ....... 36
Table: Protagonists In Russia's Commercial Banking Sector 36
Table: Russia's 10 Largest Banks (by assets) . . . . . 37
Company Profile .... 38
Alfa-Bank ........ 38
Table: Stock Market Indicators . 39
Table: Balance Sheet (RUBmn) . 40
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) . 40
Table: Key Ratios (%) . . . . 40
Bank of Moscow ........ 41
Table: Stock Market Indicators . 42
Table: Balance Sheet (RUBmn) . 43
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) . 43
Table: Key Ratios (%) . . . . 43
Gazprombank .. 44
Table: Stock Market Indicators . 46
Table: Balance Sheet (RUBmn) . 46
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) . 46
Table: Key Ratios (%) . . . . 47
Sberbank 48
Table: Stock Market Indicators . 50
Table: Balance Sheet (RUBmn) . 50
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) . 51
Table: Key Ratios (%) . . . . 51
VTB ...... 52
Table: Stock Market Indicators . 54
Table: Balance Sheet (RUBmn) . 54
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) . 54
Table: Key Ratios (%) . . . . 55
Regional Overview 56
Emerging Europe Overview .. 56
Global Industry Overview ........ 63
Global Overview ....... 63
Regional Outlooks .... 64
Table: 50 Largest Banking Sectors By Assets - Change In Loans-To-GDP . . . . 69
Demographic Forecast .. 71
Demographic Outlook 71
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Russia 1990-2025) . 72
Table: Key Population Ratios (Russia 1990-2025) . . . . . 72
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Russia 1990-2025) 73
Table: Population By Age Group (Russia 1990-2025) . 73
Table: Population By Age Group % (Russia 1990-2025) . . . . 74
Methodology . 76
Industry Forecast Methodology .... 76
Sector-Specific Methodology ........ 77
Risk/Reward Index Methodology ... 78
Table: Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index Indicators . 79
Table: Weighting Of Indicators . 80